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MLB Standings 2022

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MLB predictions 2022: Final standings, playoff projections, World Series odds for every team

The 2022 MLB season is finally missing soldiers in morocco here. With just days to go until Opening Day, hope is high among all teams that this will be their year to win a World Series or at least have an enjoyable 162-game season.

With the new campaign comes the intrigue over how it will turn out. Not many expected the Braves to win their fourth World Series title at the beginning of the 2021 season. Now in the new year, they'll have a target on their backs as several edmonton weather teams loaded up this offseason with the goal of avoiding a repeat champion. But just who will it be that claims the Commissioner's Trophy at the end of the year?

The Sporting News is unveiling a model to project the 2022 MLB season and make predictions based on the results. The model works by using past player data to project how they will perform in 2022. Those player stats are then merged in with their current teams to evaluate how good each team's lineups, rotation and bullpens will be in the 2022 season.

FIVE BIG QUESTIONS:

AL East | AL Central | AL West

NL East | NL Central | NL West

Each game is then simulated 20,000 times with park factors included in each matchup. From there, the model simulates the postseason based on the outcomes of the regular season to decide who will win the World Series. The results of each simulation are tallied together to create the most likely outcomes of the divisions, playoffs and World Series. The predicted standings for each team are the average wins and losses in the 20,000 simulations.

Below are the picks and predictions made by The Sporting News' model for how the 2022 MLB season is going to unfold.

MLB predictions 2022

AL East

Blue Jays (91-71)

Rays (87-75)

Red Sox (86-76)

Yankees (86-76)

Orioles (70-92)

The AL East is the best division in baseball, and it doesn't take a model to know that. Last year, the division placed three teams in the playoffs the most of any division in baseball and it expects to be right back in that same position next year. But how does the model see it shaking out?

The Sporting News' model sees the Blue Jays as a slim favorite to win the division over the Yankees, Rays and Red Sox, but it expects all four teams to reach the playoffs. Toronto's lineup starring Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Bo Bichette and Teoscar Hernandez is the best in the American League, and its offense will carry it through the season to one of the league's best records. Marcus Semien might have left in free agency, but Toronto acquired Matt Chapman to man third and give the team a star defender to the left of Bichette. Losing Robbie Ray and Steven Matz will hurt the rotation, but the addition of Kevin Gausman and Yusei Kikuchi, along with a full season of Jose Berrios and Alek Manoah will help bolster the pitching staff.

The Rays are that team preet kaur gill that is constantly underloved by metrics and subsequently overperforms. The model has them in third in the AL East, but it would surprise no one to see them win the division. Wander Franco, Shane Baz and Shane McClanahan are expected to take up major roles on the team in their second seasons with the club, and Randy Arozarena and Brandon Lowe will again be dangerous at the plate.

The Red Sox surprised some people with their run to the ALCS in 2021, and Boston expects to be back in the mix for the playoffs again in 2022. For all the talk of Bichette and Guerrero Jr. being a dynamic infield presence, Xander Bogaerts and Rafael Devers also are a dangerous pair of bats from the left side of the infield. Now, the Red Sox also have Trevor Story, who should certainly enjoy teeing off the Green Monster. The front end of the rotation offers some star arms in Nathan Eovaldi, Chris Sale and Tanner Houck, who can match up with many of the best in the AL.

Fans of the Yankees are disappointed that New York wasn't able to land any major name in free agency, but that doesn't stop the model from being bullish on the Bronx Bombers' chances to make the playoffs. Joey Gallo should improve without the shift, and Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Josh Donaldson make for three of the best right-handed power bats in the sport when healthy. But more than anything, the model is high on the pitching, with Gerrit Cole, Jameson Taillon, Jordan Montgomery and a healthy Luis Severino leading the team in 2022.

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